Log in
Trader leaderboard/merz1305

merz1305

0x52ebca459280966f4a56240a05e38df8527067ac
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,663
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,723
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
386W / 404L · 923 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
939W / 745L · 29 open
Trades (30d)
1,713
across 563 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$7.22
avg win $30 · loss $41
Profit Factor
0.66
$5,278 won / $7,941 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$44
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $254,523 · all-time $6,240,768

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.8% 8,308W/7,412L 5959 $627,766
🌤 Weather 58.5% 451W/320L 371 $32,975
🏛 Politics 42.0% 34W/47L 100 $16,424
🎬 Culture 64.5% 20W/11L 71 $14,289
⚽ Sports 64.3% 9W/5L 70 $16,744
🤖 Tech 69.2% 9W/4L 24 $3,220
💵 Economy 33.3% 3W/6L 15 $3,755
🔬 Science 7 $789
₿ Crypto 3 $820

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 738 0.982 $724.86 $467.62 +181.8%
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? Yes 700 0.715 $500.50 $-28.00 -5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? No 385 0.995 $382.76 $164.10 +75.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? Yes 400 0.905 $362.20 $-5.80 -1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6? No 530 0.680 $360.40 $-24.53 -6.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? No 337 0.997 $336.22 $56.92 +20.4%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 5,270 0.062 $329.35 $-100.85 -23.4%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes 408 0.804 $328.34 $8.04 +2.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6? No 488 0.655 $319.64 $8.11 +2.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? No 509 0.615 $313.03 $-23.70 -7.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? No 488 0.635 $309.88 $-36.93 -10.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6? No 599 0.515 $308.54 $-29.57 -8.7%
Will Nicolás Castro (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season? No 400 0.770 $308.00 $-56.00 -15.4%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 6? No 518 0.570 $295.37 $-44.98 -13.2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? No 571 0.515 $293.97 $-36.55 -11.1%
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? No 580 0.498 $289.13 $-26.23 -8.3%
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026? No 350 0.820 $287.00 $-14.00 -4.7%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No 319 0.895 $285.50 $63.15 +28.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? No 484 0.585 $283.14 $-38.71 -12.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? No 350 0.805 $281.75 $-15.75 -5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5? No 491 0.550 $270.09 $21.24 +8.5%
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 500 0.530 $265.00 $-35.00 -11.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? No 419 0.625 $262.16 $-34.01 -11.5%
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 296 0.855 $253.08 $7.40 +3.0%
Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026? No 500 0.505 $252.50 $-167.50 -39.9%