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Trader leaderboard/merz1305

merz1305

0x52ebca459280966f4a56240a05e38df8527067ac
PnL (30d)
−$17,476
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6,834
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
8,293W / 7,394L · 2,973 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
9,707W / 8,814L · 139 open
Trades (30d)
18,660
across 5,951 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$3.49
avg win $37 · loss $44
Profit Factor
0.84
$93,049 won / $110,525 lost
Reward / Risk
0.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,427
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $245,840 · all-time $6,232,085

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.9% 8,293W/7,394L 5951 $626,925
🌤 Weather 57.6% 466W/343L 391 $33,582
🏛 Politics 38.9% 37W/58L 110 $17,476
🎬 Culture 47.7% 21W/23L 84 $15,018
⚽ Sports 64.3% 9W/5L 81 $17,853
🤖 Tech 50.0% 8W/8L 26 $3,510
💵 Economy 35.3% 6W/11L 23 $4,551
🔬 Science 7 $789
₿ Crypto 3 $820

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 807 0.993 $800.95 $652.62 +440.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 738 0.983 $725.60 $468.36 +182.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 564 1.000 $563.49 $212.55 +60.6%
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? Yes 700 0.715 $500.50 $-28.00 -5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? No 787 0.525 $413.18 $-16.33 -3.8%
Will Nicolás Castro (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season? No 400 0.970 $388.00 $24.00 +6.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? No 385 0.960 $369.48 $150.82 +69.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No 418 0.805 $336.49 $45.13 +15.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? No 337 0.997 $336.05 $56.75 +20.3%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes 408 0.811 $331.20 $10.90 +3.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? No 555 0.595 $330.22 $-36.94 -10.1%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 5,270 0.062 $329.35 $-100.85 -23.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 321 0.999 $320.52 $224.22 +232.8%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6? No 670 0.465 $311.60 $-66.58 -17.6%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6? No 488 0.635 $309.88 $-1.65 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? No 488 0.635 $309.88 $-38.48 -11.0%
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026? No 350 0.850 $297.50 $-3.50 -1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6? No 388 0.730 $283.24 $-3.00 -1.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? No 350 0.805 $281.75 $-15.75 -5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 6? No 497 0.555 $276.00 $-52.17 -15.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6? No 356 0.750 $266.88 $16.78 +6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? No 484 0.550 $266.20 $-55.65 -17.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? No 419 0.625 $262.16 $-34.01 -11.5%
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 500 0.515 $257.50 $-42.50 -14.2%
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? Yes 790 0.325 $256.75 $-18.49 -6.7%