| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
1,054 |
0.988 |
$1,041.07 |
$105.17 |
+11.2% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? |
Yes |
641 |
0.836 |
$535.55 |
$30.93 |
+6.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
678 |
0.305 |
$206.84 |
$6.84 |
+3.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
250 |
0.685 |
$171.25 |
$6.25 |
+3.8% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? |
Yes |
450 |
0.344 |
$154.82 |
$40.23 |
+35.1% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
264 |
0.585 |
$154.22 |
$-43.33 |
-21.9% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? |
Yes |
233 |
0.384 |
$89.56 |
$1.18 |
+1.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
214 |
0.175 |
$37.43 |
$-0.32 |
-0.8% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
260 |
0.084 |
$21.71 |
$-50.09 |
-69.8% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
160 |
0.130 |
$20.81 |
$-74.27 |
-78.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
382 |
0.013 |
$4.78 |
$-4.22 |
-46.9% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
603 |
0.005 |
$3.32 |
$-10.19 |
-75.4% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? |
Yes |
83 |
0.018 |
$1.45 |
$-5.59 |
-79.5% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
65 |
0.018 |
$1.20 |
$-19.78 |
-94.3% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
192 |
0.003 |
$0.48 |
$-2.20 |
-82.1% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
160 |
0.003 |
$0.40 |
$-0.72 |
-64.3% |