| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
1,054 |
0.985 |
$1,037.90 |
$102.00 |
+10.9% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? |
Yes |
641 |
0.833 |
$533.94 |
$29.33 |
+5.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
678 |
0.305 |
$206.84 |
$6.84 |
+3.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
250 |
0.685 |
$171.25 |
$6.25 |
+3.8% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
264 |
0.615 |
$162.13 |
$-35.42 |
-17.9% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? |
Yes |
450 |
0.344 |
$155.05 |
$40.46 |
+35.3% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? |
Yes |
233 |
0.383 |
$89.21 |
$0.83 |
+0.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
214 |
0.155 |
$33.15 |
$-4.60 |
-12.2% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
260 |
0.098 |
$25.35 |
$-46.45 |
-64.7% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
160 |
0.125 |
$20.01 |
$-75.07 |
-79.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
382 |
0.015 |
$5.54 |
$-3.46 |
-38.4% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
603 |
0.003 |
$1.81 |
$-11.70 |
-86.6% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? |
Yes |
83 |
0.018 |
$1.45 |
$-5.59 |
-79.5% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
65 |
0.017 |
$1.11 |
$-19.87 |
-94.7% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
192 |
0.003 |
$0.48 |
$-2.20 |
-82.1% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
160 |
0.003 |
$0.40 |
$-0.72 |
-64.3% |