Trader
0x4da9074e692d616114e5fc4ca0a78e7551443f5d
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$2
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
52W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
95%
52W / 3L
Trades (30d)
55
across 3 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
+$0.70
avg win $1 · loss $0
Profit Factor
8.98
$2 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
4.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $156 · all-time $6,590
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
155 |
0.835 |
$129.20 |
$13.35 |
+11.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.625 |
$11.02 |
$-0.14 |
-1.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
18 |
0.520 |
$9.60 |
$-0.34 |
-3.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.38 |
$0.85 |
+15.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.990 |
$5.02 |
$0.05 |
+1.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
6 |
0.735 |
$4.75 |
$-0.16 |
-3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.350 |
$2.60 |
$-0.67 |
-20.5% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.940 |
$1.82 |
$0.58 |
+46.9% |