Trader
0x4da9074e692d616114e5fc4ca0a78e7551443f5d
PnL (30d)
+$3
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
165W / 13L · 252 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
299W / 131L
Trades (30d)
430
across 30 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
+$0.18
avg win $1 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.26
$15 won / $12 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $156 · all-time $6,590
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
155 |
0.845 |
$130.75 |
$14.90 |
+12.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.625 |
$11.02 |
$-0.14 |
-1.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
18 |
0.525 |
$9.69 |
$-0.25 |
-2.5% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.38 |
$0.85 |
+15.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.993 |
$5.04 |
$0.07 |
+1.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
6 |
0.735 |
$4.75 |
$-0.16 |
-3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.345 |
$2.56 |
$-0.71 |
-21.6% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.940 |
$1.82 |
$0.58 |
+46.9% |