| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
1,093 |
0.640 |
$699.46 |
$55.11 |
+8.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
463 |
0.930 |
$430.55 |
$113.44 |
+35.8% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
750 |
0.535 |
$401.62 |
$47.01 |
+13.3% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
565 |
0.635 |
$358.77 |
$-25.27 |
-6.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
508 |
0.506 |
$257.03 |
$-116.99 |
-31.3% |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
339 |
0.620 |
$210.18 |
$3.39 |
+1.6% |
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
500 |
0.225 |
$112.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,312 |
0.065 |
$85.31 |
$-39.69 |
-31.7% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
243 |
0.325 |
$78.97 |
$1.21 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
135 |
0.465 |
$62.77 |
$-12.82 |
-17.0% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
690 |
0.075 |
$51.75 |
$-3.45 |
-6.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
140 |
0.335 |
$46.90 |
$-3.50 |
-6.9% |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? |
Yes |
110 |
0.350 |
$38.50 |
$7.70 |
+25.0% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.142 |
$18.46 |
$3.91 |
+26.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.100 |
$14.00 |
$-1.40 |
-9.1% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? |
No |
118 |
0.100 |
$11.82 |
$-4.17 |
-26.1% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.090 |
$10.80 |
$-1.00 |
-8.5% |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.195 |
$7.80 |
$-1.00 |
-11.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.050 |
$6.00 |
$-9.50 |
-61.3% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
3,119 |
0.002 |
$4.68 |
$-7.80 |
-62.5% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.036 |
$3.60 |
$-1.40 |
-28.0% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,260 |
0.003 |
$3.15 |
$-1.89 |
-37.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
30 |
0.065 |
$1.95 |
$-1.95 |
-50.0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? |
Yes |
120 |
0.007 |
$0.84 |
$-20.76 |
-96.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
200 |
0.002 |
$0.30 |
$-4.88 |
-94.2% |