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Trader leaderboard/Vengance

Vengance

0x4d7cf7beb54672b11f25718c1381e925f51693b2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,074
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$82
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+25.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
39W / 30L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
41W / 45L
Trades (30d)
86
across 34 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$44.75
avg win $171 · loss $19
Profit Factor
4.62
$1,370 won / $296 lost
Reward / Risk
9.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$31
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,451 · all-time $163,922

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.6% 137W/134L 104 $34,975
🏛 Politics 71.4% 5W/2L 9 $2,757
🎬 Culture 33.3% 1W/2L 7 $150
⚽ Sports 3 $1,001
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $2,530

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 1,093 0.585 $639.35 $-5.00 -0.8%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 750 0.540 $405.38 $50.76 +14.3%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 565 0.600 $339.00 $-45.05 -11.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 508 0.554 $281.19 $-92.83 -24.8%
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 339 0.700 $237.30 $30.51 +14.8%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 500 0.225 $112.50 $2.50 +2.3%
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 243 0.355 $86.27 $8.50 +10.9%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 1,312 0.065 $85.31 $-39.69 -31.7%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 135 0.455 $61.42 $-14.18 -18.8%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 690 0.075 $51.75 $-3.45 -6.2%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 140 0.325 $45.50 $-4.90 -9.7%
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? Yes 110 0.345 $37.94 $7.14 +23.2%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 930 0.024 $22.31 $-1.83 -7.6%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? Yes 130 0.144 $18.73 $4.18 +28.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 20, 2026? No 110 0.140 $15.40 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? No 140 0.105 $14.70 $-0.70 -4.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026? No 120 0.095 $11.40 $-0.40 -3.4%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026? No 70 0.155 $10.85 $-1.75 -13.9%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? No 118 0.090 $10.64 $-5.35 -33.5%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 207 0.048 $9.84 $0.10 +1.1%
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? Yes 40 0.195 $7.80 $-1.00 -11.4%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 3,119 0.002 $4.68 $-7.80 -62.5%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? Yes 100 0.036 $3.65 $-1.35 -27.0%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,260 0.003 $3.15 $-1.89 -37.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? No 30 0.055 $1.65 $-2.25 -57.7%