| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
1,093 |
0.650 |
$710.39 |
$66.04 |
+10.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
750 |
0.540 |
$405.38 |
$50.76 |
+14.3% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
565 |
0.630 |
$355.95 |
$-28.10 |
-7.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
508 |
0.519 |
$263.43 |
$-110.60 |
-29.6% |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
339 |
0.635 |
$215.26 |
$8.47 |
+4.1% |
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
500 |
0.225 |
$112.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
243 |
0.360 |
$87.48 |
$9.72 |
+12.5% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,312 |
0.065 |
$85.31 |
$-39.69 |
-31.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
135 |
0.455 |
$61.42 |
$-14.18 |
-18.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
690 |
0.075 |
$51.75 |
$-3.45 |
-6.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
140 |
0.325 |
$45.50 |
$-4.90 |
-9.7% |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? |
Yes |
110 |
0.355 |
$39.05 |
$8.25 |
+26.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
930 |
0.022 |
$20.45 |
$-3.69 |
-15.3% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.144 |
$18.73 |
$4.18 |
+28.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 20, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.140 |
$15.40 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.105 |
$14.70 |
$-0.70 |
-4.5% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? |
No |
118 |
0.100 |
$11.82 |
$-4.17 |
-26.1% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.095 |
$11.40 |
$-0.40 |
-3.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.155 |
$10.85 |
$-1.75 |
-13.9% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
207 |
0.048 |
$9.84 |
$0.10 |
+1.1% |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.195 |
$7.80 |
$-1.00 |
-11.4% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
3,119 |
0.002 |
$4.68 |
$-7.80 |
-62.5% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.035 |
$3.54 |
$-1.46 |
-29.2% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,260 |
0.003 |
$3.15 |
$-1.89 |
-37.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
30 |
0.055 |
$1.65 |
$-2.25 |
-57.7% |