| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
8,408 |
0.065 |
$546.50 |
$-402.55 |
-42.4% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Yes |
4,022 |
0.115 |
$462.52 |
$-208.99 |
-31.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
1,752 |
0.170 |
$297.77 |
$-50.02 |
-14.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
593 |
0.490 |
$290.61 |
$-5.77 |
-1.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
1,760 |
0.135 |
$237.55 |
$-120.42 |
-33.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Yes |
2,374 |
0.065 |
$154.33 |
$-20.74 |
-11.8% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
214 |
0.560 |
$119.59 |
$-2.26 |
-1.9% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
Yes |
2,463 |
0.049 |
$119.43 |
$-20.36 |
-14.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
145 |
0.765 |
$111.15 |
$5.81 |
+5.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
416 |
0.185 |
$77.01 |
$-14.41 |
-15.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
No |
87 |
0.245 |
$21.23 |
$-6.11 |
-22.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,262 |
0.009 |
$19.23 |
$-17.58 |
-47.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
220 |
0.080 |
$17.59 |
$2.19 |
+14.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
37 |
0.375 |
$13.86 |
$-4.99 |
-26.5% |