Vanquish
0x4baf4239188fb0b708e4d16872986e1fa9af5fdf
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$262
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$908
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
50W / 0L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
58W / 0L
Trades (30d)
58
across 5 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$87.47
avg win $87
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,075 · all-time $1,305,294
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
15,751 |
0.969 |
$15,262.92 |
$196.29 |
+1.3% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
18,296 |
0.600 |
$10,977.64 |
$-5,162.07 |
-32.0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
8,906 |
1.000 |
$8,901.55 |
$711.97 |
+8.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
1,947 |
0.934 |
$1,818.68 |
$-62.31 |
-3.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,404 |
0.945 |
$1,326.16 |
$-4.67 |
-0.4% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.983 |
$393.20 |
$2.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.600 |
$9.26 |
$0.77 |
+9.1% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.285 |
$2.85 |
$-0.75 |
-20.9% |