Vanquish
0x4baf4239188fb0b708e4d16872986e1fa9af5fdf
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$648
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$51
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
26W / 0L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
96%
26W / 1L
Trades (30d)
27
across 2 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
+$648.30
avg win $648
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$14
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,075 · all-time $1,305,294
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
15,751 |
0.966 |
$15,215.67 |
$149.04 |
+1.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
18,296 |
0.625 |
$11,435.04 |
$-4,704.67 |
-29.1% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
8,906 |
0.994 |
$8,852.56 |
$662.99 |
+8.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
1,947 |
0.940 |
$1,830.37 |
$-50.63 |
-2.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,404 |
0.950 |
$1,333.18 |
$2.35 |
+0.2% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.983 |
$393.20 |
$2.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.680 |
$10.50 |
$2.01 |
+23.6% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.290 |
$2.90 |
$-0.70 |
-19.4% |