PnL (30d)

+$2,706

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3,895

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

108W / 0L · 36 open

Win Return (30d)

83%

119W / 25L

Trades (30d)

144

across 19 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$245.97

avg win $246

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$21

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	100.0% 108W/0L	19	$115,806
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/8L	3	$22,790
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$15,471
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$15,471
🤖 Tech	—	1	$4
🎬 Culture	—	1	$4
🔬 Science	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	15,751	0.969	$15,262.92	$196.29	+1.3%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	18,296	0.625	$11,435.04	$-4,704.67	-29.1%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	8,906	0.994	$8,852.56	$662.99	+8.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	No	1,947	0.938	$1,825.50	$-55.50	-3.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	1,404	0.949	$1,332.48	$1.64	+0.1%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	400	0.984	$393.60	$2.40	+0.6%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.690	$10.65	$2.16	+25.4%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?	Yes	10	0.295	$2.95	$-0.65	-18.1%