| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
1,559 |
0.720 |
$1,122.12 |
$104.35 |
+10.3% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
1,473 |
0.365 |
$537.73 |
$-61.86 |
-10.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? |
Yes |
600 |
0.770 |
$462.00 |
$294.20 |
+175.3% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
546 |
0.595 |
$324.99 |
$-41.65 |
-11.4% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? |
Yes |
384 |
0.833 |
$319.87 |
$137.16 |
+75.1% |
| Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? |
No |
449 |
0.665 |
$298.43 |
$52.89 |
+21.5% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
401 |
0.565 |
$226.79 |
$-5.32 |
-2.3% |
| Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
326 |
0.630 |
$205.28 |
$5.51 |
+2.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.072 |
$181.25 |
$-8.73 |
-4.6% |
| Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? |
No |
261 |
0.691 |
$180.35 |
$128.20 |
+245.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.915 |
$164.81 |
$49.16 |
+42.5% |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $27.6B? |
No |
215 |
0.740 |
$158.98 |
$12.49 |
+8.5% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
202 |
0.780 |
$157.75 |
$30.27 |
+23.7% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
261 |
0.590 |
$153.78 |
$-13.01 |
-7.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? |
No |
156 |
0.940 |
$146.23 |
$44.88 |
+44.3% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.360 |
$143.82 |
$-33.42 |
-18.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? |
No |
602 |
0.230 |
$138.49 |
$-100.15 |
-42.0% |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? |
Yes |
465 |
0.295 |
$137.17 |
$-13.17 |
-8.8% |
| Will Relove Deep Cross Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026? |
Yes |
218 |
0.600 |
$130.55 |
$53.43 |
+69.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.850 |
$127.49 |
$18.09 |
+16.5% |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
189 |
0.620 |
$117.31 |
$4.55 |
+4.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
175 |
0.645 |
$112.76 |
$8.12 |
+7.8% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $5.5B? |
No |
140 |
0.785 |
$109.98 |
$7.00 |
+6.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? |
No |
100 |
1.000 |
$99.95 |
$37.95 |
+61.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026? |
Yes |
186 |
0.530 |
$98.64 |
$-27.44 |
-21.8% |