| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
1,559 |
0.730 |
$1,137.71 |
$119.93 |
+11.8% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
1,473 |
0.335 |
$493.54 |
$-106.06 |
-17.7% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? |
Yes |
384 |
0.836 |
$320.83 |
$138.12 |
+75.6% |
| Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? |
No |
449 |
0.665 |
$298.43 |
$52.89 |
+21.5% |
| Will Trump say "Easter Egg" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
398 |
0.635 |
$252.49 |
$-52.74 |
-17.3% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
328 |
0.590 |
$193.69 |
$-1.10 |
-0.6% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.075 |
$188.75 |
$-1.23 |
-0.6% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
303 |
0.590 |
$178.59 |
$-23.57 |
-11.7% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.915 |
$164.81 |
$49.16 |
+42.5% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
952 |
0.170 |
$161.78 |
$37.17 |
+29.8% |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $27.6B? |
No |
215 |
0.750 |
$161.13 |
$14.64 |
+10.0% |
| Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? |
No |
261 |
0.602 |
$157.24 |
$105.08 |
+201.5% |
| Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
200 |
0.765 |
$153.15 |
$27.22 |
+21.6% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
261 |
0.580 |
$151.17 |
$-15.62 |
-9.4% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.360 |
$143.82 |
$-33.42 |
-18.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
202 |
0.705 |
$142.59 |
$15.10 |
+11.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? |
No |
156 |
0.915 |
$142.34 |
$40.99 |
+40.4% |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? |
Yes |
465 |
0.295 |
$137.17 |
$-13.17 |
-8.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.850 |
$127.49 |
$18.09 |
+16.5% |
| Will Relove Deep Cross Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026? |
Yes |
218 |
0.555 |
$120.76 |
$43.63 |
+56.6% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? |
Yes |
153 |
0.775 |
$118.37 |
$22.95 |
+24.1% |
| Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
210 |
0.560 |
$117.69 |
$-15.61 |
-11.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
175 |
0.645 |
$112.76 |
$8.12 |
+7.8% |
| Will anyone say "President" 10+ times during President Curtis E3 S1? |
Yes |
125 |
0.885 |
$110.67 |
$15.91 |
+16.8% |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
187 |
0.575 |
$107.73 |
$43.62 |
+68.0% |