| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
1,559 |
0.725 |
$1,129.92 |
$112.14 |
+11.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
1,473 |
0.400 |
$589.30 |
$-10.29 |
-1.7% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
546 |
0.605 |
$330.45 |
$-36.19 |
-9.9% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? |
Yes |
384 |
0.833 |
$319.87 |
$137.16 |
+75.1% |
| Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? |
No |
449 |
0.665 |
$298.43 |
$52.89 |
+21.5% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
401 |
0.570 |
$228.79 |
$-3.31 |
-1.4% |
| Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
326 |
0.630 |
$205.28 |
$5.51 |
+2.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.073 |
$183.75 |
$-6.23 |
-3.3% |
| Will anyone say "President" 10+ times during President Curtis E3 S1? |
Yes |
185 |
0.895 |
$165.18 |
$29.95 |
+22.1% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.915 |
$164.81 |
$49.16 |
+42.5% |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $27.6B? |
No |
215 |
0.740 |
$158.98 |
$12.49 |
+8.5% |
| Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? |
No |
261 |
0.609 |
$158.93 |
$106.78 |
+204.7% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
202 |
0.780 |
$157.75 |
$30.27 |
+23.7% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
261 |
0.590 |
$153.78 |
$-13.01 |
-7.8% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
839 |
0.175 |
$146.80 |
$40.48 |
+38.1% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.360 |
$143.82 |
$-33.42 |
-18.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? |
No |
156 |
0.920 |
$143.12 |
$41.77 |
+41.2% |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? |
Yes |
465 |
0.295 |
$137.17 |
$-13.17 |
-8.8% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $5.5B? |
No |
140 |
0.960 |
$134.50 |
$31.52 |
+30.6% |
| Will Relove Deep Cross Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026? |
Yes |
218 |
0.600 |
$130.55 |
$53.43 |
+69.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.850 |
$127.49 |
$18.09 |
+16.5% |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
187 |
0.650 |
$121.78 |
$57.67 |
+90.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
175 |
0.645 |
$112.76 |
$8.12 |
+7.8% |
| Will Latigo Biotherapeutics' market cap be between $850M and $1B at market close on IPO day? |
No |
120 |
0.920 |
$110.40 |
$17.89 |
+19.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? |
No |
100 |
1.000 |
$99.95 |
$37.95 |
+61.2% |