T123
0x49ae18c82dab9fd3a2bb84d0a96c3ded503ff3ba
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$184
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$469
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
56W / 28L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
64W / 28L
Trades (30d)
92
across 7 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$36.88
avg win $342 · loss $39
Profit Factor
2.17
$342 won / $157 lost
Reward / Risk
8.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$108
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,082 · all-time $1,836,931
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
9,166 |
0.948 |
$8,689.25 |
$366.53 |
+4.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
No |
6,636 |
0.865 |
$5,739.94 |
$349.09 |
+6.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.755 |
$1,132.50 |
$62.50 |
+5.8% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
No |
150 |
0.636 |
$95.46 |
$-11.96 |
-11.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
179 |
0.117 |
$20.85 |
$-10.29 |
-33.0% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July? |
Yes |
132 |
0.043 |
$5.74 |
$4.58 |
+395.6% |