PnL (30d)

+$1,379

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,700

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

72%

98W / 38L · 134 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

217W / 53L

Trades (30d)

270

across 32 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$91.94

avg win $229 · loss $28

Profit Factor

7.21

$1,601 won / $222 lost

Reward / Risk

8.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$108

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.1% 98W/38L	32	$104,666
🏛 Politics	40.0% 2W/3L	6	$8,646
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	3	$6,680
🎬 Culture	—	1	$874
🔬 Science	—	1	$874
⚽ Sports	—	1	$143

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	9,166	0.950	$8,707.59	$384.87	+4.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	6,636	0.870	$5,773.12	$382.27	+7.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	1,500	0.750	$1,125.00	$55.00	+5.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	200	0.660	$131.98	$-11.25	-7.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	179	0.117	$20.85	$-10.29	-33.0%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?	Yes	132	0.056	$7.34	$6.19	+533.8%