buffalosold
0x4954adb855077fd6c5a19051d50f2070fab3ac42
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$47
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
143W / 67L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
143W / 73L
Trades (30d)
216
across 128 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.37
avg win $7 · loss $12
Profit Factor
1.09
$582 won / $536 lost
Reward / Risk
0.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$52
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $564 · all-time $114,208
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
271 |
0.060 |
$16.25 |
$-1.95 |
-10.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? |
No |
8 |
1.000 |
$8.16 |
$1.20 |
+17.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.835 |
$6.84 |
$-0.20 |
-2.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
8 |
0.215 |
$1.76 |
$-5.60 |
-76.1% |