buffalosold
0x4954adb855077fd6c5a19051d50f2070fab3ac42
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
1W / 3L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
4W / 6L
Trades (30d)
10
across 10 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.19
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.19
$1 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
0.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $564 · all-time $114,208
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
271 |
0.060 |
$16.25 |
$-1.95 |
-10.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? |
No |
8 |
1.000 |
$8.16 |
$1.20 |
+17.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.835 |
$6.84 |
$-0.20 |
-2.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
8 |
0.205 |
$1.68 |
$-5.68 |
-77.2% |