buffalosold
0x4954adb855077fd6c5a19051d50f2070fab3ac42
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$12
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-84.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
1W / 5L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
2W / 5L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
8
across 8 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$2.05
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.08
$1 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $564 · all-time $114,208
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
271 |
0.060 |
$16.25 |
$-1.95 |
-10.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? |
No |
8 |
1.000 |
$8.16 |
$1.20 |
+17.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.845 |
$6.92 |
$-0.12 |
-1.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
8 |
0.195 |
$1.59 |
$-5.77 |
-78.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET |
Up |
17 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-8.80 |
-100.0% |