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Trader leaderboard/GamerBolo

GamerBolo

0x493029126348826610d1766a410d290fad6182ab
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$17
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$56
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
3W / 17L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
5W / 31L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
44
across 15 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$4.22
avg win $13 · loss $4
Profit Factor
2.99
$25 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
2.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,678 · all-time $226,856

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.1% 91W/125L 102 $7,489
💵 Economy 50.0% 2W/2L 12 $304
🏛 Politics 50.0% 4W/4L 9 $385
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 8 $83

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? Yes 797 0.305 $242.96 $-142.71 -37.0%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 636 0.335 $212.93 $59.49 +38.8%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 4,476 0.037 $167.87 $-180.71 -51.8%
New pandemic in 2026? Yes 1,833 0.065 $119.17 $-80.83 -40.4%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 4-10? No 125 0.895 $111.88 $3.00 +2.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 507 0.165 $83.60 $-18.40 -18.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 100 0.695 $69.49 $-3.51 -4.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 200 0.278 $55.50 $-26.74 -32.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? No 288 0.105 $30.25 $-70.62 -70.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 925 0.031 $28.67 $-121.32 -80.9%
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? Yes 372 0.075 $27.90 $-11.30 -28.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 236 0.115 $27.11 $-16.79 -38.3%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.185 $18.50 $-4.50 -19.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 413 0.043 $17.55 $-18.85 -51.8%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 300 0.055 $16.50 $-59.50 -78.3%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 42 0.295 $12.28 $-1.46 -10.6%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? Yes 378 0.029 $10.97 $-16.16 -59.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? Yes 145 0.070 $10.17 $-20.14 -66.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes 100 0.095 $9.50 $-3.50 -26.9%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 100 0.086 $8.55 $0.85 +11.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.075 $7.50 $-5.50 -42.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 300 0.019 $5.85 $-12.95 -68.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 21 0.250 $5.25 $-4.62 -46.8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? Yes 100 0.037 $3.75 $-3.25 -46.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? Yes 100 0.036 $3.65 $-12.35 -77.2%