Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$70
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-14.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
10W / 6L · 29 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
24W / 20L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
45
across 18 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$9.98
avg win $19 · loss $32
Profit Factor
0.45
$58 won / $127 lost
Reward / Risk
0.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,188 · all-time $70,933

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.5% 223W/356L 328 $3,996
🌤 Weather 23.3% 7W/23L 22 $115
🏛 Politics 9 $122
₿ Crypto 50.0% 1W/1L 6 $219
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $97
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $96
🎬 Culture 1 $70

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? No 146 0.875 $128.02 $6.64 +5.5%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 794 0.133 $105.65 $-13.50 -11.3%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 104 0.665 $69.05 $-0.70 -1.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? No 51 0.925 $46.85 $0.10 +0.2%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 65 0.590 $38.32 $-1.97 -4.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No 39 0.968 $37.55 $4.70 +14.3%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 39 0.705 $27.33 $0.48 +1.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 18 0.940 $17.00 $2.08 +13.9%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? Yes 61 0.225 $13.79 $-0.54 -3.8%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August? No 14 0.885 $12.78 $0.94 +7.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 11 0.954 $10.15 $1.24 +13.9%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes 12 0.804 $9.86 $1.04 +11.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 10 0.966 $9.50 $0.55 +6.2%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 11 0.840 $9.24 $0.33 +3.7%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? Yes 12 0.785 $9.18 $0.29 +3.3%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? Yes 11 0.825 $8.97 $0.05 +0.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 14 0.650 $8.95 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 8 0.951 $7.48 $0.18 +2.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 9 0.685 $6.10 $0.22 +3.8%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? No 6 0.905 $5.86 $0.49 +9.0%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 8 0.700 $5.81 $-0.19 -3.2%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? Yes 9 0.538 $4.60 $-1.29 -21.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 4 0.984 $3.79 $0.32 +9.3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? Yes 27 0.140 $3.78 $0.40 +11.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? Yes 31 0.102 $3.14 $-0.37 -10.6%