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Trader

0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$8
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
22W / 10L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
80%
40W / 10L
Trades (30d)
50
across 15 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.77
avg win $4 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.37
$31 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
0.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,188 · all-time $70,933

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.5% 223W/356L 328 $3,996
🌤 Weather 23.3% 7W/23L 22 $115
🏛 Politics 9 $122
₿ Crypto 50.0% 1W/1L 6 $219
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $97
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $96
🎬 Culture 1 $70

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? No 146 0.875 $128.02 $6.64 +5.5%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 794 0.137 $108.43 $-10.72 -9.0%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 104 0.660 $68.53 $-1.22 -1.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? No 51 0.925 $46.85 $0.10 +0.2%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 65 0.590 $38.32 $-1.97 -4.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No 39 0.972 $37.70 $4.85 +14.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 39 0.705 $27.33 $0.48 +1.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 18 0.940 $17.00 $2.08 +13.9%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? Yes 61 0.230 $14.09 $-0.24 -1.7%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August? No 14 0.880 $12.71 $0.87 +7.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 11 0.956 $10.18 $1.27 +14.2%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes 12 0.804 $9.86 $1.04 +11.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 10 0.966 $9.50 $0.55 +6.2%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 11 0.840 $9.24 $0.33 +3.7%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? Yes 12 0.785 $9.18 $0.29 +3.3%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? Yes 11 0.825 $8.97 $0.05 +0.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 14 0.650 $8.95 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 8 0.953 $7.49 $0.19 +2.6%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? No 6 0.905 $5.86 $0.49 +9.0%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 8 0.700 $5.81 $-0.19 -3.2%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 9 0.645 $5.75 $-0.13 -2.3%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? Yes 9 0.533 $4.56 $-1.33 -22.6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? Yes 27 0.155 $4.18 $0.80 +23.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 4 0.985 $3.80 $0.33 +9.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? Yes 31 0.099 $3.03 $-0.48 -13.6%