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Trader

0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
PnL (30d)
+$255
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
223W / 356L · 82 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
281W / 377L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
661
across 328 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.86
avg win $15 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.27
$1,197 won / $942 lost
Reward / Risk
3.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$159
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,188 · all-time $70,933

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.5% 223W/356L 328 $3,996
🌤 Weather 23.3% 7W/23L 22 $115
🏛 Politics 9 $122
₿ Crypto 50.0% 1W/1L 6 $219
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $97
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $96
🎬 Culture 1 $70

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? No 146 0.875 $128.02 $6.64 +5.5%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 794 0.137 $108.82 $-10.33 -8.7%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 104 0.680 $70.61 $0.86 +1.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? No 51 0.925 $46.85 $0.10 +0.2%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 65 0.590 $38.32 $-1.97 -4.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No 39 0.972 $37.72 $4.87 +14.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 39 0.715 $27.71 $0.86 +3.2%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 18 0.930 $16.82 $1.90 +12.7%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August? No 14 0.880 $12.71 $0.87 +7.3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? Yes 61 0.195 $11.95 $-2.38 -16.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 11 0.964 $10.26 $1.35 +15.1%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes 12 0.811 $9.94 $1.12 +12.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 10 0.969 $9.53 $0.58 +6.5%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 11 0.840 $9.24 $0.33 +3.7%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? Yes 12 0.785 $9.18 $0.29 +3.3%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? Yes 11 0.825 $8.97 $0.05 +0.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 14 0.650 $8.95 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 8 0.953 $7.49 $0.19 +2.6%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? No 6 0.905 $5.86 $0.49 +9.0%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 8 0.700 $5.81 $-0.19 -3.2%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 9 0.640 $5.70 $-0.18 -3.0%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? Yes 9 0.534 $4.56 $-1.32 -22.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 4 0.985 $3.80 $0.33 +9.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? Yes 27 0.110 $2.97 $-0.41 -12.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? Yes 31 0.083 $2.54 $-0.97 -27.6%