PnL (30d)

+$33

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$83

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

4W / 0L · 56 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

35W / 25L

Trades (30d)

60

across 12 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$32.75

avg win $33

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.3% 8,726W/1,267L	45	$830,756
₿ Crypto	—	7	$2,333
💵 Economy	—	7	$2,333

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	8,563	0.889	$7,612.14	$-168.48	-2.2%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	1,101	0.888	$978.18	$30.71	+3.2%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	843	0.620	$522.63	$26.63	+5.4%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	555	0.825	$457.48	$10.73	+2.4%
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	460	0.925	$425.50	$25.60	+6.4%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	463	0.885	$409.75	$-1.39	-0.3%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	486	0.795	$386.09	$92.76	+31.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	506	0.724	$366.48	$29.72	+8.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	262	0.805	$211.07	$-16.98	-7.4%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	266	0.743	$197.77	$8.16	+4.3%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	365	0.485	$176.82	$27.34	+18.3%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	270	0.325	$87.84	$-12.16	-12.2%
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	235	0.152	$35.72	$11.94	+50.2%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	142	0.205	$29.17	$-3.56	-10.9%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	943	0.026	$24.99	$-135.00	-84.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	24	0.976	$23.81	$0.40	+1.7%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	200	0.093	$18.70	$9.09	+94.6%
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	12	0.215	$2.55	$1.22	+92.7%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	100	0.017	$1.70	$-0.57	-25.1%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	13	0.115	$1.49	$-0.06	-4.2%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	30	0.025	$0.73	$-0.77	-51.0%