PnL (30d)

+$33

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$140

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

4W / 0L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

17W / 21L

Trades (30d)

38

across 8 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$32.75

avg win $33

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.3% 8,726W/1,267L	45	$830,756
₿ Crypto	—	7	$2,333
💵 Economy	—	7	$2,333

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	8,563	0.886	$7,586.45	$-194.17	-2.5%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	1,101	0.888	$978.18	$30.71	+3.2%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	843	0.615	$518.42	$22.42	+4.5%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	555	0.825	$457.48	$10.73	+2.4%
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	460	0.925	$425.50	$25.60	+6.4%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	463	0.885	$409.75	$-1.39	-0.3%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	486	0.795	$386.09	$92.76	+31.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	506	0.732	$370.28	$33.51	+10.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	262	0.805	$211.07	$-16.98	-7.4%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	266	0.743	$197.77	$8.16	+4.3%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	365	0.485	$176.82	$27.34	+18.3%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	270	0.310	$83.78	$-16.22	-16.2%
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	235	0.164	$38.42	$14.65	+61.6%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	142	0.205	$29.17	$-3.56	-10.9%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	943	0.026	$24.99	$-135.00	-84.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	24	0.976	$23.81	$0.40	+1.7%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	200	0.091	$18.30	$8.69	+90.4%
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	12	0.230	$2.72	$1.40	+106.2%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	100	0.018	$1.75	$-0.52	-22.9%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	13	0.115	$1.49	$-0.06	-4.2%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	30	0.025	$0.75	$-0.75	-50.0%