PnL (30d)

+$9,366

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$60

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

87%

8,726W / 1,267L · 70 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

8,771W / 1,292L

Trades (30d)

10,063

across 45 markets · ~224 per market

EV / position

+$283.83

avg win $933 · loss $406

Profit Factor

2.44

$15,862 won / $6,496 lost

Reward / Risk

2.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.3% 8,726W/1,267L	45	$830,756
₿ Crypto	—	7	$2,333
💵 Economy	—	7	$2,333

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	8,563	0.892	$7,642.11	$-138.51	-1.8%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	1,101	0.876	$964.97	$17.50	+1.8%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	843	0.610	$514.20	$18.20	+3.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	555	0.825	$457.48	$10.73	+2.4%
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	460	0.925	$425.50	$25.60	+6.4%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	463	0.885	$409.75	$-1.39	-0.3%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	486	0.790	$383.66	$90.33	+30.8%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	506	0.718	$363.44	$26.68	+7.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	262	0.805	$211.07	$-16.98	-7.4%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	266	0.743	$197.63	$8.03	+4.2%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	365	0.485	$176.82	$27.34	+18.3%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	270	0.315	$85.14	$-14.86	-14.9%
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	235	0.163	$38.19	$14.41	+60.6%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	142	0.205	$29.17	$-3.56	-10.9%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	943	0.026	$24.99	$-135.00	-84.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	24	0.975	$23.80	$0.39	+1.7%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	200	0.091	$18.30	$8.69	+90.4%
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	12	0.225	$2.66	$1.34	+101.7%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	100	0.017	$1.70	$-0.57	-25.1%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	13	0.120	$1.56	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	30	0.025	$0.73	$-0.77	-51.0%