| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31? |
No |
770 |
0.979 |
$753.45 |
$50.45 |
+7.2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
700 |
0.940 |
$658.00 |
$32.00 |
+5.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
600 |
0.940 |
$564.00 |
$58.00 |
+11.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
583 |
0.795 |
$463.59 |
$89.87 |
+24.0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
No |
800 |
0.545 |
$436.00 |
$-11.00 |
-2.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.825 |
$412.54 |
$-1.50 |
-0.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
429 |
0.905 |
$388.09 |
$53.66 |
+16.0% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
540 |
0.680 |
$367.15 |
$-83.04 |
-18.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
No |
422 |
0.860 |
$363.09 |
$-1.09 |
-0.3% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
350 |
0.925 |
$323.75 |
$3.25 |
+1.0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? |
No |
400 |
0.685 |
$274.00 |
$12.00 |
+4.6% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.860 |
$258.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
No |
241 |
0.976 |
$235.39 |
$116.62 |
+98.2% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? |
No |
176 |
1.000 |
$176.40 |
$31.91 |
+22.1% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
617 |
0.254 |
$156.73 |
$-31.35 |
-16.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
300 |
0.465 |
$139.50 |
$-23.50 |
-14.4% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
115 |
0.979 |
$112.51 |
$25.44 |
+29.2% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
190 |
0.585 |
$111.17 |
$-2.88 |
-2.5% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July? |
No |
108 |
0.984 |
$106.75 |
$11.28 |
+11.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.905 |
$90.50 |
$11.50 |
+14.6% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? |
Yes |
517 |
0.165 |
$85.37 |
$-132.24 |
-60.8% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
108 |
0.735 |
$79.23 |
$-3.38 |
-4.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.50 |
$6.50 |
+9.8% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
400 |
0.145 |
$58.00 |
$-116.00 |
-66.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? |
Yes |
58 |
0.615 |
$35.97 |
$11.41 |
+46.4% |