| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31? |
No |
770 |
0.979 |
$753.45 |
$50.45 |
+7.2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
700 |
0.930 |
$651.00 |
$25.00 |
+4.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
600 |
0.940 |
$564.00 |
$58.00 |
+11.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
583 |
0.795 |
$463.59 |
$89.87 |
+24.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
429 |
0.895 |
$383.80 |
$49.38 |
+14.8% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
540 |
0.680 |
$367.15 |
$-83.04 |
-18.4% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
350 |
0.925 |
$323.75 |
$3.25 |
+1.0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? |
No |
400 |
0.695 |
$277.96 |
$15.96 |
+6.1% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
No |
500 |
0.535 |
$267.50 |
$-17.50 |
-6.1% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.860 |
$258.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
No |
241 |
0.973 |
$234.55 |
$115.78 |
+97.5% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
No |
241 |
0.935 |
$225.39 |
$30.13 |
+15.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? |
No |
176 |
1.000 |
$176.40 |
$31.91 |
+22.1% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
617 |
0.254 |
$156.73 |
$-31.35 |
-16.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
300 |
0.455 |
$136.50 |
$-26.50 |
-16.3% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
190 |
0.595 |
$113.07 |
$-0.98 |
-0.9% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
115 |
0.973 |
$111.88 |
$24.81 |
+28.5% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July? |
No |
108 |
0.984 |
$106.75 |
$11.28 |
+11.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.925 |
$92.50 |
$13.50 |
+17.1% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? |
Yes |
517 |
0.170 |
$87.95 |
$-129.65 |
-59.6% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
108 |
0.730 |
$78.69 |
$-3.92 |
-4.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.720 |
$72.00 |
$6.00 |
+9.1% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
400 |
0.145 |
$58.00 |
$-116.00 |
-66.7% |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
220 |
0.209 |
$45.97 |
$0.46 |
+1.0% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? |
Yes |
58 |
0.620 |
$36.26 |
$11.70 |
+47.6% |