| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.825 |
$825.00 |
$-3.00 |
-0.4% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31? |
No |
770 |
0.979 |
$753.45 |
$50.45 |
+7.2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
700 |
0.950 |
$665.00 |
$39.00 |
+6.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
600 |
0.935 |
$561.00 |
$55.00 |
+10.9% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
583 |
0.795 |
$463.59 |
$89.87 |
+24.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
429 |
0.890 |
$381.66 |
$47.23 |
+14.1% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
540 |
0.680 |
$367.15 |
$-83.04 |
-18.4% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
350 |
0.925 |
$323.75 |
$3.25 |
+1.0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? |
No |
400 |
0.690 |
$275.96 |
$13.96 |
+5.3% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
No |
500 |
0.545 |
$272.50 |
$-12.50 |
-4.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.860 |
$258.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
No |
241 |
0.977 |
$235.51 |
$116.74 |
+98.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
No |
222 |
0.987 |
$219.44 |
$39.26 |
+21.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? |
No |
176 |
0.998 |
$176.14 |
$31.65 |
+21.9% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
617 |
0.251 |
$154.57 |
$-33.51 |
-17.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
300 |
0.465 |
$139.50 |
$-23.50 |
-14.4% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
115 |
0.979 |
$112.57 |
$25.50 |
+29.3% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
190 |
0.585 |
$111.17 |
$-2.88 |
-2.5% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July? |
No |
108 |
0.984 |
$106.70 |
$11.23 |
+11.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$92.00 |
$13.00 |
+16.5% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? |
Yes |
517 |
0.170 |
$87.95 |
$-129.65 |
-59.6% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
108 |
0.735 |
$79.23 |
$-3.38 |
-4.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.720 |
$72.00 |
$6.00 |
+9.1% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
400 |
0.155 |
$62.00 |
$-112.00 |
-64.4% |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
220 |
0.211 |
$46.41 |
$0.90 |
+2.0% |