| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
85,315 |
0.250 |
$21,328.83 |
$2,396.34 |
+12.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
24,450 |
0.685 |
$16,748.29 |
$2,348.65 |
+16.3% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
6,686 |
0.980 |
$6,549.30 |
$464.70 |
+7.6% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
7,961 |
0.720 |
$5,731.85 |
$-778.89 |
-12.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
5,102 |
0.966 |
$4,928.58 |
$103.90 |
+2.2% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
5,501 |
0.604 |
$3,319.65 |
$-1,013.68 |
-23.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
12,406 |
0.255 |
$3,163.62 |
$-1,848.64 |
-36.9% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
3,882 |
0.716 |
$2,779.43 |
$-564.16 |
-16.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
28,947 |
0.095 |
$2,750.00 |
$-4,106.65 |
-59.9% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
2,510 |
0.981 |
$2,460.97 |
$177.97 |
+7.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
30,089 |
0.080 |
$2,407.10 |
$-3,826.98 |
-61.4% |
| Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
2,396 |
0.973 |
$2,330.90 |
$63.31 |
+2.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
4,483 |
0.356 |
$1,598.33 |
$-91.88 |
-5.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12,098 |
0.130 |
$1,572.68 |
$-150.00 |
-8.7% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
1,537 |
0.918 |
$1,412.00 |
$-20.50 |
-1.4% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
2,044 |
0.606 |
$1,237.38 |
$574.57 |
+86.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
6,388 |
0.185 |
$1,181.77 |
$-1,325.32 |
-52.9% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
1,043 |
0.998 |
$1,040.28 |
$50.66 |
+5.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,243 |
0.805 |
$1,000.42 |
$751.87 |
+302.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26,943 |
0.037 |
$996.91 |
$-6,008.39 |
-85.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
4,353 |
0.210 |
$914.17 |
$-859.24 |
-48.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
4,351 |
0.210 |
$913.76 |
$-1,555.93 |
-63.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
2,943 |
0.260 |
$765.29 |
$-1,213.47 |
-61.3% |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
1,097 |
0.665 |
$729.67 |
$16.42 |
+2.3% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
4,221 |
0.170 |
$717.64 |
$-707.22 |
-49.6% |