| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
85,315 |
0.250 |
$21,328.83 |
$2,396.34 |
+12.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
24,450 |
0.680 |
$16,626.04 |
$2,226.40 |
+15.5% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
6,686 |
0.980 |
$6,549.30 |
$464.70 |
+7.6% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
7,961 |
0.715 |
$5,692.04 |
$-818.69 |
-12.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
5,102 |
0.966 |
$4,928.58 |
$103.90 |
+2.2% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
5,501 |
0.605 |
$3,325.15 |
$-1,008.18 |
-23.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
12,406 |
0.255 |
$3,163.62 |
$-1,848.64 |
-36.9% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
3,882 |
0.715 |
$2,773.61 |
$-569.98 |
-17.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
28,947 |
0.095 |
$2,750.00 |
$-4,106.65 |
-59.9% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
2,510 |
0.980 |
$2,458.46 |
$175.46 |
+7.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
30,089 |
0.080 |
$2,407.10 |
$-3,826.98 |
-61.4% |
| Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
2,396 |
0.970 |
$2,323.71 |
$56.12 |
+2.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
4,483 |
0.356 |
$1,598.33 |
$-91.88 |
-5.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12,098 |
0.130 |
$1,572.68 |
$-150.00 |
-8.7% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
1,537 |
0.918 |
$1,412.00 |
$-20.50 |
-1.4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
6,388 |
0.195 |
$1,245.65 |
$-1,261.44 |
-50.3% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
2,044 |
0.606 |
$1,237.38 |
$574.57 |
+86.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26,943 |
0.042 |
$1,118.15 |
$-5,887.14 |
-84.0% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
1,043 |
0.998 |
$1,040.28 |
$50.66 |
+5.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
286,045 |
0.004 |
$1,001.16 |
$-40.90 |
-3.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,243 |
0.785 |
$975.57 |
$727.01 |
+292.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
4,351 |
0.215 |
$935.52 |
$-1,534.17 |
-62.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
4,353 |
0.210 |
$914.17 |
$-859.24 |
-48.5% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
2,943 |
0.265 |
$780.01 |
$-1,198.75 |
-60.6% |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
1,097 |
0.695 |
$762.48 |
$49.22 |
+6.9% |