| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
85,315 |
0.250 |
$21,328.83 |
$2,396.34 |
+12.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
24,450 |
0.675 |
$16,503.79 |
$2,104.15 |
+14.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
6,686 |
0.980 |
$6,549.30 |
$464.70 |
+7.6% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
7,961 |
0.730 |
$5,811.46 |
$-699.28 |
-10.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
5,102 |
0.966 |
$4,928.58 |
$103.90 |
+2.2% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
5,501 |
0.603 |
$3,316.90 |
$-1,016.43 |
-23.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
12,406 |
0.255 |
$3,163.62 |
$-1,848.64 |
-36.9% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
3,882 |
0.716 |
$2,777.49 |
$-566.10 |
-16.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
28,947 |
0.095 |
$2,750.00 |
$-4,106.65 |
-59.9% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
2,510 |
0.980 |
$2,458.46 |
$175.46 |
+7.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
277,664 |
0.009 |
$2,360.15 |
$1,348.62 |
+133.3% |
| Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
2,396 |
0.971 |
$2,324.91 |
$57.32 |
+2.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
30,089 |
0.070 |
$2,106.21 |
$-4,127.87 |
-66.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
4,483 |
0.356 |
$1,596.09 |
$-94.12 |
-5.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12,098 |
0.130 |
$1,572.68 |
$-150.00 |
-8.7% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
1,537 |
0.918 |
$1,412.00 |
$-20.50 |
-1.4% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
2,044 |
0.606 |
$1,237.38 |
$574.57 |
+86.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
6,388 |
0.190 |
$1,213.71 |
$-1,293.38 |
-51.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26,943 |
0.040 |
$1,077.74 |
$-5,927.56 |
-84.6% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
1,043 |
0.998 |
$1,040.28 |
$50.66 |
+5.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,243 |
0.785 |
$975.57 |
$727.01 |
+292.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
4,353 |
0.210 |
$914.17 |
$-859.24 |
-48.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
4,351 |
0.210 |
$913.76 |
$-1,555.93 |
-63.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
2,943 |
0.265 |
$780.01 |
$-1,198.75 |
-60.6% |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
1,097 |
0.700 |
$768.07 |
$54.82 |
+7.7% |