| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
47 |
0.890 |
$42.27 |
$18.52 |
+78.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
61 |
0.525 |
$32.08 |
$-1.12 |
-3.4% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
61 |
0.490 |
$29.92 |
$4.32 |
+16.9% |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? |
No |
38 |
0.775 |
$29.30 |
$0.46 |
+1.6% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.885 |
$23.49 |
$0.66 |
+2.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.700 |
$19.79 |
$-0.73 |
-3.6% |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? |
No |
135 |
0.145 |
$19.57 |
$-4.72 |
-19.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
22 |
0.788 |
$17.35 |
$6.35 |
+57.7% |
| Will Astralis Make a Roster Change before September? |
No |
16 |
0.840 |
$13.36 |
$0.23 |
+1.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.845 |
$12.10 |
$7.25 |
+149.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.385 |
$11.55 |
$-2.40 |
-17.2% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? |
No |
25 |
0.319 |
$8.07 |
$-2.13 |
-20.8% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
27 |
0.300 |
$7.99 |
$-11.94 |
-59.9% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.780 |
$7.80 |
$2.70 |
+52.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.680 |
$5.37 |
$0.24 |
+4.6% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.410 |
$5.32 |
$-2.86 |
-34.9% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.700 |
$5.01 |
$0.29 |
+6.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.987 |
$4.93 |
$0.31 |
+6.6% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.618 |
$4.86 |
$2.58 |
+113.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.211 |
$4.65 |
$-6.35 |
-57.7% |
| California Clinic Funding Proposition |
No |
7 |
0.660 |
$4.39 |
$-0.40 |
-8.3% |
| Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? |
No |
5 |
0.815 |
$4.07 |
$-0.23 |
-5.2% |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? |
No |
7 |
0.600 |
$4.04 |
$0.81 |
+25.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.115 |
$4.01 |
$-0.17 |
-4.2% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
5 |
0.775 |
$3.88 |
$1.88 |
+93.8% |