| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
47 |
0.925 |
$43.93 |
$20.18 |
+85.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
61 |
0.515 |
$31.47 |
$-1.73 |
-5.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
61 |
0.490 |
$29.92 |
$4.32 |
+16.9% |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? |
No |
38 |
0.775 |
$29.30 |
$0.46 |
+1.6% |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? |
No |
135 |
0.175 |
$23.62 |
$-0.67 |
-2.8% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.885 |
$23.49 |
$0.66 |
+2.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.700 |
$19.79 |
$-0.73 |
-3.6% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
22 |
0.790 |
$17.39 |
$6.39 |
+58.1% |
| Will Astralis Make a Roster Change before September? |
No |
16 |
0.805 |
$12.80 |
$-0.33 |
-2.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.375 |
$11.25 |
$-2.70 |
-19.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.785 |
$11.24 |
$6.39 |
+131.7% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
27 |
0.315 |
$8.39 |
$-11.54 |
-57.9% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.780 |
$7.80 |
$2.70 |
+52.9% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? |
No |
25 |
0.280 |
$7.07 |
$-3.12 |
-30.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.685 |
$5.41 |
$0.28 |
+5.4% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.410 |
$5.32 |
$-2.86 |
-34.9% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.700 |
$5.01 |
$0.29 |
+6.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.987 |
$4.93 |
$0.31 |
+6.6% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.615 |
$4.83 |
$2.55 |
+111.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.209 |
$4.61 |
$-6.39 |
-58.1% |
| California Clinic Funding Proposition |
No |
7 |
0.645 |
$4.29 |
$-0.50 |
-10.4% |
| Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? |
No |
5 |
0.815 |
$4.07 |
$-0.23 |
-5.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.115 |
$4.01 |
$-0.17 |
-4.2% |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? |
No |
7 |
0.595 |
$4.01 |
$0.78 |
+24.0% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
5 |
0.775 |
$3.88 |
$1.88 |
+93.8% |