| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
47 |
0.905 |
$42.98 |
$19.23 |
+81.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
61 |
0.525 |
$32.08 |
$-1.12 |
-3.4% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
61 |
0.490 |
$29.92 |
$4.32 |
+16.9% |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? |
No |
38 |
0.775 |
$29.30 |
$0.46 |
+1.6% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.885 |
$23.49 |
$0.66 |
+2.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.700 |
$19.79 |
$-0.73 |
-3.6% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
22 |
0.790 |
$17.39 |
$6.39 |
+58.1% |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? |
No |
135 |
0.125 |
$16.87 |
$-7.42 |
-30.6% |
| Will Astralis Make a Roster Change before September? |
No |
16 |
0.810 |
$12.88 |
$-0.25 |
-1.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.845 |
$12.10 |
$7.25 |
+149.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.380 |
$11.40 |
$-2.55 |
-18.3% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? |
No |
25 |
0.323 |
$8.17 |
$-2.02 |
-19.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
27 |
0.300 |
$7.99 |
$-11.94 |
-59.9% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.780 |
$7.80 |
$2.70 |
+52.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.685 |
$5.41 |
$0.28 |
+5.4% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.410 |
$5.32 |
$-2.86 |
-34.9% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.700 |
$5.01 |
$0.29 |
+6.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.987 |
$4.93 |
$0.31 |
+6.6% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.619 |
$4.86 |
$2.58 |
+113.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.209 |
$4.61 |
$-6.39 |
-58.1% |
| California Clinic Funding Proposition |
No |
7 |
0.660 |
$4.39 |
$-0.40 |
-8.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.125 |
$4.36 |
$0.17 |
+4.2% |
| Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? |
No |
5 |
0.815 |
$4.07 |
$-0.23 |
-5.2% |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? |
No |
7 |
0.600 |
$4.04 |
$0.81 |
+25.0% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
5 |
0.775 |
$3.88 |
$1.88 |
+93.8% |