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Trader leaderboard/ccyy2026

ccyy2026

0x428208cf4ff7b0aaede6dfd86969cfc823f93455
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$63
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
336W / 164L · 246 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
505W / 240L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
746
across 51 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$2.86
avg win $2 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.29
$26 won / $89 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$81
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,021 · all-time $227,579

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.8% 784W/372L 165 $4,364
🏛 Politics 5.0% 7W/134L 17 $461
🎬 Culture 1.0% 1W/96L 5 $221
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $52
₿ Crypto 2 $44
⚽ Sports 1 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 221 0.845 $186.41 $18.90 +11.3%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4,020 0.009 $34.17 $-2.01 -5.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? Yes 281 0.115 $32.26 $-6.78 -17.4%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 47 0.660 $31.15 $0.45 +1.5%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 43 0.585 $25.37 $-5.17 -16.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 54 0.431 $23.47 $0.30 +1.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 27 0.515 $13.85 $-1.05 -7.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 22 0.630 $13.84 $1.38 +11.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 19 0.695 $13.50 $-1.20 -8.2%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 9 0.715 $6.41 $0.85 +15.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 36 0.175 $6.29 $1.64 +35.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? Yes 132 0.045 $5.94 $-0.15 -2.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 6 0.905 $5.36 $0.39 +7.7%
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? No 6 0.925 $5.11 $0.14 +2.8%
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? No 5 0.945 $5.00 $0.03 +0.5%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 5 0.964 $4.89 $-0.08 -1.6%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 5 0.905 $4.89 $-0.08 -1.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 22 0.205 $4.58 $-0.33 -6.8%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes 5 0.735 $3.83 $-0.08 -2.0%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 18 0.210 $3.69 $-1.61 -30.4%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No 4 0.745 $2.95 $0.07 +2.6%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes 14 0.205 $2.92 $-0.26 -8.0%
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No 3 0.855 $2.89 $-0.02 -0.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? Yes 93 0.026 $2.43 $-0.62 -20.4%
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No 2 0.967 $2.23 $0.05 +2.5%