| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
221 |
0.845 |
$186.41 |
$18.90 |
+11.3% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
49 |
0.695 |
$34.37 |
$2.20 |
+6.8% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,020 |
0.009 |
$34.17 |
$-2.01 |
-5.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.595 |
$25.81 |
$-4.74 |
-15.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
203 |
0.115 |
$23.37 |
$-6.39 |
-21.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
27 |
0.515 |
$13.85 |
$-1.05 |
-7.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
22 |
0.625 |
$13.73 |
$1.27 |
+10.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
19 |
0.705 |
$13.70 |
$-1.00 |
-6.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.446 |
$9.78 |
$0.78 |
+8.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.41 |
$0.85 |
+15.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
36 |
0.175 |
$6.29 |
$1.64 |
+35.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.905 |
$5.36 |
$0.39 |
+7.7% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.925 |
$5.11 |
$0.14 |
+2.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.990 |
$5.03 |
$0.06 |
+1.1% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$5.00 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.89 |
$-0.08 |
-1.6% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.765 |
$4.13 |
$0.08 |
+2.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.210 |
$3.69 |
$-1.61 |
-30.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
14 |
0.210 |
$3.00 |
$-0.18 |
-5.8% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.745 |
$2.95 |
$0.07 |
+2.6% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.855 |
$2.89 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? |
Yes |
93 |
0.026 |
$2.43 |
$-0.62 |
-20.4% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.655 |
$2.29 |
$-0.40 |
-14.9% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.967 |
$2.23 |
$0.05 |
+2.5% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.940 |
$1.82 |
$0.58 |
+46.9% |