| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
221 |
0.845 |
$186.41 |
$18.90 |
+11.3% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,020 |
0.009 |
$34.17 |
$-2.01 |
-5.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.625 |
$27.11 |
$-3.44 |
-11.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
169 |
0.125 |
$21.11 |
$-4.29 |
-16.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
19 |
0.730 |
$14.18 |
$-0.52 |
-3.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
27 |
0.525 |
$14.12 |
$-0.78 |
-5.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
20 |
0.680 |
$13.81 |
$1.64 |
+13.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
22 |
0.590 |
$12.96 |
$0.50 |
+4.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.501 |
$9.12 |
$0.03 |
+0.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.41 |
$0.85 |
+15.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
36 |
0.165 |
$5.93 |
$1.29 |
+27.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.925 |
$5.48 |
$0.50 |
+10.1% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.925 |
$5.11 |
$0.14 |
+2.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.993 |
$5.04 |
$0.07 |
+1.4% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$5.00 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.89 |
$-0.08 |
-1.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.225 |
$3.96 |
$-1.35 |
-25.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
14 |
0.210 |
$3.00 |
$-0.18 |
-5.8% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.750 |
$2.97 |
$0.09 |
+3.3% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.855 |
$2.89 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? |
Yes |
93 |
0.029 |
$2.75 |
$-0.29 |
-9.7% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.670 |
$2.34 |
$-0.35 |
-13.0% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.967 |
$2.24 |
$0.06 |
+2.5% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
21 |
0.095 |
$1.98 |
$-0.20 |
-9.3% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.940 |
$1.82 |
$0.58 |
+46.9% |