PnL (30d)

+$28

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+98.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

1W / 3L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

3W / 5L

Trades (30d)

8

across 6 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$9.27

avg win $31 · loss $1

Profit Factor

10.27

$31 won / $3 lost

Reward / Risk

20.53

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 13W/13L	23	$181
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	38	0.625	$24.04	$4.04	+20.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	No	25	0.770	$19.25	$-0.50	-2.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	No	15	0.775	$11.40	$1.40	+14.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	No	11	0.897	$9.73	$-0.27	-2.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	6	0.845	$4.91	$-0.09	-1.7%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	20	0.118	$2.37	$-2.03	-46.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3	0.325	$0.93	$-0.07	-7.1%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31?	Yes	60	0.005	$0.33	$-0.87	-72.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	No	6	0.011	$0.07	$0.04	+130.0%