PnL (30d)

−$23

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-65.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

10%

1W / 9L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

1W / 11L

Trades (30d)

12

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$3.33

avg win $4 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.14

$4 won / $27 lost

Reward / Risk

0.82

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 13W/13L	23	$181
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	38	0.635	$24.42	$4.42	+22.1%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	No	25	0.770	$19.25	$-0.50	-2.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	No	15	0.775	$11.40	$1.40	+14.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	No	11	0.904	$9.81	$-0.19	-1.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	6	0.845	$4.91	$-0.09	-1.7%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	20	0.113	$2.25	$-2.15	-48.9%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3	0.325	$0.93	$-0.07	-7.1%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31?	Yes	60	0.005	$0.33	$-0.87	-72.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	No	6	0.012	$0.07	$0.04	+139.7%