PnL (30d)

+$8

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

13W / 13L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

19W / 21L

Trades (30d)

40

across 23 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.58

avg win $7 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.26

$37 won / $29 lost

Reward / Risk

2.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 13W/13L	23	$181
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	38	0.625	$24.04	$4.04	+20.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	No	25	0.770	$19.25	$-0.50	-2.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	No	15	0.775	$11.40	$1.40	+14.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	No	11	0.897	$9.73	$-0.27	-2.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	6	0.835	$4.85	$-0.15	-2.9%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	20	0.116	$2.32	$-2.08	-47.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3	0.325	$0.93	$-0.07	-7.1%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31?	Yes	60	0.004	$0.27	$-0.93	-77.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	No	6	0.011	$0.06	$0.03	+110.0%