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Trader

0x409367ef0150830a411b4731d8ed8a3324075749
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$217
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$109
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
121W / 13L · 37 open
Win Return (30d)
84%
144W / 27L
Trades (30d)
171
across 17 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$24.06
avg win $27 · loss $0
Profit Factor
676.62
$217 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
84.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $66,640 · all-time $3,160,178

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.6% 4,208W/3,362L 1652 $297,774
⚽ Sports 56.8% 668W/509L 344 $48,415
₿ Crypto 46.7% 28W/32L 21 $1,919
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $1,758
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $591
🤖 Tech 1 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

65 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,431 0.875 $1,251.87 $-5.99 -0.5%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 924 0.987 $911.08 $35.05 +4.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 667 0.995 $663.66 $12.06 +1.9%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 693 0.948 $656.97 $51.38 +8.5%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 660 0.951 $627.01 $53.10 +9.3%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 495 0.990 $490.02 $1.84 +0.4%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 405 0.987 $399.84 $21.70 +5.7%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 423 0.867 $366.65 $-2.96 -0.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 372 0.976 $363.18 $50.61 +16.2%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 298 0.992 $294.99 $4.00 +1.4%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,785 0.146 $261.52 $158.44 +153.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? Yes 241 0.981 $236.51 $-1.18 -0.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 237 0.960 $227.12 $37.22 +19.6%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Aliona Falei 440 0.425 $186.89 $-122.66 -39.6%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 162 0.967 $156.97 $-3.37 -2.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? Yes 155 0.990 $153.20 $5.36 +3.6%
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallants Jaffna Kings 156 0.860 $133.86 $27.76 +26.2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? No 100 0.945 $94.16 $1.94 +2.1%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No 92 0.981 $90.66 $6.56 +7.8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6? No 106 0.775 $82.28 $7.91 +10.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 527 0.155 $81.74 $-31.20 -27.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 833 0.090 $75.39 $42.16 +126.8%
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire Welsh Fire 107 0.685 $73.45 $9.84 +15.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 467 0.115 $53.72 $-15.34 -22.2%
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskyte Katarzyna Kawa 66 0.760 $50.10 $-0.99 -1.9%