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Trader

0x409367ef0150830a411b4731d8ed8a3324075749
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$761
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
234W / 196L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
238W / 209L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
451
across 67 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$14.63
avg win $54 · loss $66
Profit Factor
1.68
$1,885 won / $1,124 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$516
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $67,862 · all-time $3,161,401

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.6% 4,208W/3,362L 1652 $297,774
⚽ Sports 56.8% 668W/509L 344 $48,415
₿ Crypto 46.7% 28W/32L 21 $1,919
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $1,758
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $591
🤖 Tech 1 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,430 0.865 $1,237.36 $-20.30 -1.6%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 924 0.987 $911.08 $35.05 +4.0%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 693 0.995 $689.54 $83.95 +13.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 667 1.000 $666.66 $15.06 +2.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 660 0.996 $656.70 $82.79 +14.4%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 495 0.990 $490.02 $1.84 +0.4%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 405 0.987 $399.64 $21.50 +5.7%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 423 0.868 $367.07 $-2.53 -0.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 372 0.976 $362.99 $50.42 +16.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 298 1.000 $297.37 $6.38 +2.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,785 0.151 $270.44 $167.36 +162.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? Yes 241 0.984 $237.23 $-0.46 -0.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 237 0.962 $227.47 $37.57 +19.8%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 162 0.968 $157.13 $-3.21 -2.0%
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallants Jaffna Kings 156 1.000 $155.58 $49.48 +46.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? Yes 155 0.992 $153.59 $5.75 +3.9%
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire Welsh Fire 146 1.000 $145.52 $55.70 +62.0%
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Carlos Sanchez Jover 210 0.595 $125.21 $-1.71 -1.3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? No 106 0.960 $102.16 $3.72 +3.8%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No 92 0.981 $90.62 $6.52 +7.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 527 0.155 $81.74 $-31.20 -27.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6? No 109 0.725 $79.36 $2.22 +2.9%
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Daniel Galan 193 0.405 $78.34 $-39.66 -33.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 833 0.093 $77.89 $44.65 +134.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 467 0.115 $53.72 $-15.34 -22.2%