Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x409367ef0150830a411b4731d8ed8a3324075749
PnL (30d)
−$1,792
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$197
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
4,208W / 3,362L · 352 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
4,284W / 3,599L · 39 open
Trades (30d)
7,922
across 1,652 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.12
avg win $71 · loss $99
Profit Factor
0.97
$65,504 won / $67,297 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,670
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $65,981 · all-time $3,159,519

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.6% 4,208W/3,362L 1652 $297,774
⚽ Sports 57.6% 772W/569L 381 $54,293
₿ Crypto 52.9% 46W/41L 24 $2,504
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $1,758
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $619
🤖 Tech 2 $35

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

64 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,433 0.875 $1,253.66 $-6.00 -0.5%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 924 0.987 $911.08 $35.05 +4.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 667 0.996 $663.99 $12.39 +1.9%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 693 0.949 $657.31 $51.73 +8.5%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 660 0.949 $626.02 $52.11 +9.1%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 495 0.990 $490.02 $1.84 +0.4%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 405 0.987 $399.64 $21.50 +5.7%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 423 0.867 $366.65 $-2.96 -0.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 372 0.976 $362.99 $50.42 +16.1%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Aliona Falei 430 0.765 $329.20 $27.27 +9.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 298 0.997 $296.48 $5.49 +1.9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,785 0.146 $261.52 $158.44 +153.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? Yes 241 0.981 $236.51 $-1.18 -0.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 237 0.959 $226.76 $36.86 +19.4%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 162 0.960 $155.75 $-4.59 -2.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? Yes 155 0.991 $153.44 $5.60 +3.8%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No 92 0.981 $90.66 $6.56 +7.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 527 0.155 $81.74 $-31.20 -27.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6? No 106 0.745 $79.09 $4.72 +6.3%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 833 0.090 $75.39 $42.16 +126.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 467 0.115 $53.72 $-15.34 -22.2%
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Zsombor Piros 59 0.905 $53.59 $19.16 +55.6%
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskyte Katarzyna Kawa 66 0.560 $36.92 $-14.17 -27.7%
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallants Jaffna Kings 64 0.530 $33.94 $-1.87 -5.2%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No 89 0.345 $30.79 $19.57 +174.4%