PnL (30d)

+$7

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$96

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+18.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

23%

61W / 204L · 356 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

319W / 243L · 59 open

Trades (30d)

621

across 188 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.10

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.33

$30 won / $22 lost

Reward / Risk

4.89

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.2% 518W/603L	608	$387
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	45	$58
🏛 Politics	80.0% 4W/1L	28	$6
💵 Economy	57.9% 11W/8L	17	$6
🎬 Culture	66.7% 6W/3L	15	$3
₿ Crypto	52.9% 9W/8L	8	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	143	0.052	$7.52	$7.38	+5149.9%
Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	278	0.007	$1.95	$1.67	+600.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	48	0.029	$1.37	$1.22	+850.0%
Will JDG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	180	0.007	$1.26	$1.08	+600.0%
Will the Seattle Mariners hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.25	$0.75	+150.0%
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	191	0.006	$1.24	$1.05	+550.0%
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song for 2026?	Yes	190	0.005	$1.05	$0.86	+449.9%
Will Torreense win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	339	0.003	$1.02	$0.68	+200.0%
Will the San Diego Padres hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the Kansas City Royals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?	Yes	301	0.003	$0.90	$0.60	+199.9%
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.90	$0.60	+200.0%
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	282	0.003	$0.85	$0.56	+200.0%
Will "CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro" be the song of the summer?	Yes	334	0.003	$0.83	$0.50	+150.0%
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Athletics hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	245	0.003	$0.74	$0.49	+200.0%
Will “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	240	0.003	$0.72	$0.48	+200.0%
Will Emily Engstler have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	144	0.005	$0.72	$0.58	+400.0%
Will Yevgeny Tyurin win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?	Yes	285	0.003	$0.71	$0.43	+150.0%