PnL (30d)

+$3

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

57W / 33L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

57W / 34L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

95

across 18 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.17

avg win $1 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.01

$5 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

2.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.2% 518W/603L	604	$386
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	51	$69
🏛 Politics	87.5% 7W/1L	28	$6
💵 Economy	66.7% 18W/9L	20	$8
🎬 Culture	72.7% 8W/3L	16	$3
₿ Crypto	63.6% 14W/8L	8	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	143	0.051	$7.29	$7.15	+4989.9%
Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	278	0.007	$1.95	$1.67	+600.0%
Will JDG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	180	0.007	$1.26	$1.08	+600.0%
Will the Seattle Mariners hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.25	$0.75	+150.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	48	0.024	$1.13	$0.98	+683.3%
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	191	0.005	$1.05	$0.86	+450.0%
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song for 2026?	Yes	190	0.005	$1.05	$0.86	+449.9%
Will Torreense win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	339	0.003	$1.02	$0.68	+200.0%
Will the San Diego Padres hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the Kansas City Royals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?	Yes	301	0.003	$0.90	$0.60	+199.9%
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	280	0.003	$0.84	$0.56	+200.0%
Will "CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro" be the song of the summer?	Yes	334	0.003	$0.83	$0.50	+150.0%
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Athletics hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Seattle Mariners win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will California Black Bears win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	212	0.004	$0.74	$0.53	+249.9%
Will “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	240	0.003	$0.72	$0.48	+200.0%
Will Emily Engstler have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	144	0.005	$0.72	$0.58	+400.0%
Will Yevgeny Tyurin win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?	Yes	285	0.003	$0.71	$0.43	+150.0%