PnL (30d)

+$7

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

85%

147W / 26L · 140 open

Win Return (30d)

90%

263W / 30L · 20 open

Trades (30d)

313

across 38 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$0.34

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

3.84

$9 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

1.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.2% 518W/603L	608	$387
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	45	$58
🏛 Politics	80.0% 4W/1L	28	$6
💵 Economy	57.9% 11W/8L	17	$6
🎬 Culture	66.7% 6W/3L	15	$3
₿ Crypto	52.9% 9W/8L	8	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	143	0.052	$7.45	$7.31	+5100.0%
Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	278	0.007	$1.95	$1.67	+600.0%
Will JDG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	180	0.007	$1.26	$1.08	+600.0%
Will the Seattle Mariners hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.25	$0.75	+150.0%
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	191	0.005	$1.05	$0.86	+450.0%
Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$0.75	+250.0%
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song for 2026?	Yes	190	0.005	$1.05	$0.86	+449.9%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	48	0.021	$1.03	$0.88	+613.2%
Will Torreense win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	339	0.003	$1.02	$0.68	+200.0%
Will the San Diego Padres hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the Kansas City Royals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.50	+100.0%
Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?	Yes	301	0.003	$0.90	$0.60	+199.9%
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.90	$0.60	+200.0%
Will "CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro" be the song of the summer?	Yes	334	0.003	$0.83	$0.50	+150.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	108	0.007	$0.76	$0.65	+599.9%
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Athletics hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Seattle Mariners win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Will California Black Bears win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$0.45	+150.0%
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	245	0.003	$0.74	$0.49	+200.0%
Will “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	240	0.003	$0.72	$0.48	+200.0%