PnL (30d)

+$1

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$238

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

9W / 2L · 250 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

152W / 109L

Trades (30d)

261

across 70 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.34

avg win $3 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.25

$5 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

0.63

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.7% 42W/48L	107	$11,727
₿ Crypto	81.8% 9W/2L	41	$3,748
💵 Economy	81.8% 9W/2L	39	$3,577

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

125 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,005	0.635	$638.38	$-33.87	-5.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	916	0.696	$637.61	$2.88	+0.5%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	670	0.872	$584.31	$51.62	+9.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	1,160	0.400	$463.85	$80.07	+20.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	688	0.660	$453.81	$48.11	+11.9%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	476	0.774	$368.64	$11.47	+3.2%
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	487	0.730	$355.41	$19.26	+5.7%
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	474	0.705	$334.50	$108.40	+47.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	410	0.750	$307.12	$-16.75	-5.2%
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	340	0.850	$289.00	$-3.66	-1.2%
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	287	0.935	$268.25	$53.01	+24.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	357	0.690	$246.43	$67.19	+37.5%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	427	0.540	$230.77	$21.28	+10.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	500	0.455	$227.37	$-3.13	-1.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	264	0.831	$219.21	$17.67	+8.8%
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	257	0.780	$200.13	$77.77	+63.6%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	202	0.935	$189.34	$74.89	+65.4%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.915	$183.01	$6.83	+3.9%
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	296	0.590	$174.45	$-27.51	-13.6%
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	195	0.805	$156.75	$12.73	+8.8%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	268	0.515	$137.94	$-7.02	-4.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	166	0.805	$134.02	$-1.17	-0.9%
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	266	0.485	$128.99	$21.10	+19.6%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	139	0.925	$128.98	$19.01	+17.3%
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	148	0.845	$124.74	$55.60	+80.4%